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Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili Odds & Line Movement — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 | BestMMAStats

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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2

Saturday, June 20, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas

Fighter 01

Vinicius Oliveira

Open-240→Now-267

↗ 2.20%

70.6% → 72.8% implied

STEAM

VERSUS

Fighter 02

Andre Fili

Open+193→Now+213

↘ 2.23%

34.1% → 31.9% implied

STEAM

Go deeper · Full head-to-head

Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili — Stats, Tale of the Tape & AI Prediction

Striking and grappling splits, strength of schedule, betting insights and a round-by-round AI breakdown.

Compare Fighters

Moneyline Timeline

Pinnacle emphasized · every book traced

Moneyline

Vinicius Oliveira

22 books

Pinnacle · Sharp21 other books

Markets & Prices

Every book · every market · filter by category or window

Moneyline6 markets · 54 quotes

Vinicius Oliveira3 markets

Vinicius de Oliveira to win

22 booksconsensus 73.0%best -235vs Open

CircaBEST

-235-235

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-240-250

↑ 0.8%

4casters

-274-253

↓ 1.6%

BetAnything

-235-255

↑ 1.7%

BetUS

-240-255

↑ 1.2%

4Cx

-281-258

↓ 1.7%

FanDuel

-260-260

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

-240-260

↑ 1.6%

BetRivers

-238-263

↑ 2.0%

BetOnline

-240-265

↑ 2.0%

YouWager

-230-265

↑ 2.9%

Bovada

-230-270

↑ 3.3%

BetMGM

-235-275

↑ 3.2%

Betway

-225-275

↑ 4.1%

Stake

-244-278

↑ 2.6%

SXBet

-281-281

· 0.0%

Bet105

-240-283

↑ 3.3%

Pinnacle

-240-283

↑ 3.3%

DraftKings

-245-285

↑ 3.0%

MyBookie

-248-285

↑ 2.8%

ProphetX

-295-295

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

-263-312

↑ 3.3%

Vinicius de Oliveira (finish = no action)

2 booksconsensus 66.7%best -200vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-204-200

↓ 0.4%

HardRockBet

-200-200

· 0.0%

Vinicius de Oliveira (scorecards = no action)

3 booksconsensus 75.7%best -260vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-260-260

· 0.0%

BetRivers

-333-312

↓ 1.2%

HardRockBet

-325-325

· 0.0%

Andre Fili3 markets

Andre Fili to win

22 booksconsensus 32.1%best +234vs Open

Bet105BEST

+201+234

↓ 3.3%

Pinnacle

+201+234

↓ 3.3%

DraftKings

+200+230

↓ 3.0%

BetMGM

+190+225

↓ 3.7%

BetOnline

+205+225

↓ 2.0%

Cloudbet

+195+225

↓ 3.1%

YouWager

+195+225

↓ 3.1%

Bovada

+190+220

↓ 3.2%

SXBet

+171+216

↓ 5.3%

ProphetX

+215+215

· 0.0%

Stake

+195+215

↓ 2.2%

MyBookie

+188+212

↓ 2.7%

BetUS

+198+210

↓ 1.3%

Betway

+163+210

↓ 5.8%

BetAnything

+185+205

↓ 2.3%

4casters

+170+200

↓ 3.7%

BetRivers

+188+200

↓ 1.4%

Circa

+200+200

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

+190+200

↓ 1.1%

Bookmaker

+191+198

↓ 0.8%

4Cx

+166+196

↓ 3.8%

FanDuel

+196+196

· 0.0%

Andre Fili (finish = no action)

2 booksconsensus 40.3%best +150vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+150+150

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+150+148

↑ 0.3%

Andre Fili (scorecards = no action)

3 booksconsensus 30.3%best +230vs Open

BetRivers

+235+230

↑ 0.5%

HardRockBetBEST

+240+230

↑ 0.9%

BetOnline

+200+200

· 0.0%

Method of Victory39 markets · 110 quotes

Vinicius Oliveira16 markets

de Oliveira wins by decision

5 booksconsensus 31.5%best +220vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+190+220

↓ 3.2%

HardRockBet

+190+220

↓ 3.2%

Cloudbet

+190+217

↓ 2.9%

BetOnline

+190+200

↓ 1.1%

Stake

+165+190

↓ 3.3%

de Oliveira wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 65.4%best -150vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-150-150

· 0.0%

Stake

-175-189

↑ 1.8%

de Oliveira wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 9.5%best +950vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+950+950

· 0.0%

de Oliveira wins by submission

6 booksconsensus 10.1%best +900vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+900+900

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+900+900

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

+900+900

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+892+887

· 0.1%

Betway

+800+800

· 0.0%

Stake

+780+760

↑ 0.3%

de Oliveira wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 43.7%best +135vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+135+135

· 0.0%

Stake

+131+129

↑ 0.4%

de Oliveira wins by TKO/KO

6 booksconsensus 35.7%best +203vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+204+203

↑ 0.1%

BetOnline

+205+190

↑ 1.7%

BetRivers

+200+180

↑ 2.4%

HardRockBet

+200+180

↑ 2.4%

Betway

2 booksconsensus 75.2%best -300vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-260-300

↑ 2.8%

BetRivers

-263-303

↑ 2.7%

de Oliveira doesn't win inside distance

2 booksconsensus 64.3%best -179vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-200-179

↓ 2.5%

HardRockBet

-200-180

↓ 2.4%

Andre Fili16 markets

Fili wins by decision

5 booksconsensus 20.5%best +420vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+390+420

↓ 1.2%

HardRockBet

+400+400

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+449+388

↑ 2.3%

Stake

+380+340

↑ 1.9%

BetOnline

+315+325

↓ 0.6%

Fili wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 37.7%best +240vs Open

StakeBEST

+210+240

↓ 2.8%

BetOnline

+165+165

· 0.0%

Fili wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 8.7%best +1050vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1050+1050

· 0.0%

Fili wins by submission

6 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1750vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+2000+1750

↑ 0.6%

BetRivers

+1800+1700

↑ 0.3%

Cloudbet

+2698+1671

↑ 2.1%

Stake

+2300+1400

↑ 2.5%

BetOnline

+2000+1200

↑ 2.9%

Betway

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Fili wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 26.7%best +420vs Open

StakeBEST

+350+420

↓ 3.0%

BetOnline

+275+275

· 0.0%

Fili wins by TKO/KO

6 booksconsensus 14.3%best +674vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+602+674

↓ 1.3%

BetRivers

+700+650

↑ 0.8%

HardRockBet

+700+650

↑ 0.8%

Betway

+600+600

· 0.0%

Stake

2 booksconsensus 86.7%best -625vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-588-625

↑ 0.7%

HardRockBet

-600-650

↑ 1.0%

Fili doesn't win inside distance

2 booksconsensus 89.5%best -833vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-1000-833

↓ 1.6%

HardRockBet

-1000-850

↓ 1.4%

Fight Outcome7 markets

Fight ends by KO, TKO or DQ

3 booksconsensus 45.9%best +120vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+135+120

↑ 2.9%

BetRivers

+135+118

↑ 3.3%

BetOnline

+110+115

↓ 1.1%

Fight ends in a Draw

2 booksconsensus 1.5%best +6600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Betway

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Fight ends in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 16.7%best +500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+500+500

· 0.0%

Fight ends in submission

3 booksconsensus 13.3%best +700vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+750+700

↑ 0.7%

BetRivers

+750+650

↑ 1.6%

HardRockBet

+750+650

↑ 1.6%

Fight doesn't end by KO, TKO or DQ

2 booksconsensus 60.9%best -155vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-180-155

↓ 3.5%

BetRivers

-182-156

↓ 3.6%

Fight doesn't end in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 88.9%best -800vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-800-800

· 0.0%

Fight doesn't end in submission

2 booksconsensus 91.7%best -1100vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-1300-1100

↓ 1.2%

BetRivers

-1250-1111

↓ 0.9%

Round Betting20 markets · 66 quotes

Vinicius Oliveira3 markets

de Oliveira wins in round 1

6 booksconsensus 22.2%best +550vs Open

BovadaBEST

+550+550

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+425+380

↑ 1.8%

HardRockBet

+425+375

↑ 2.0%

BetOnline

+400+350

↑ 2.2%

Betway

+350+350

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+390+347

↑ 2.0%

de Oliveira wins in round 2

6 booksconsensus 15.4%best +575vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+600+575

↑ 0.5%

HardRockBet

+600+575

↑ 0.5%

BetOnline

+600+550

↑ 1.1%

Betway

+550+550

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+549+500

↑ 1.3%

Bovada

+375+375

· 0.0%

de Oliveira wins in round 3

6 booksconsensus 10.5%best +938vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+982+938

↑ 0.4%

Bovada

+900+900

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+900+850

↑ 0.5%

HardRockBet

+900+850

↑ 0.5%

BetOnline

+800+800

· 0.0%

Betway

+800+800

· 0.0%

Andre Fili3 markets

Fili wins in round 1

6 booksconsensus 8.4%best +1600vs Open

BovadaBEST

+1600+1600

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+1400+1200

↑ 1.0%

HardRockBet

+1400+1200

↑ 1.0%

Cloudbet

+1096+1086

· 0.1%

BetOnline

+900+900

· 0.0%

Betway

+900+900

· 0.0%

Fili wins in round 2

6 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1600vs Open

BetRivers

+1700+1600

↑ 0.3%

HardRockBetBEST

+1750+1600

↑ 0.5%

Cloudbet

+1439+1446

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+1100+1200

↓ 0.6%

Betway

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Bovada

+1100+1100

· 0.0%

Fili wins in round 3

6 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2500vs Open

BovadaBEST

+2500+2500

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+2385+2495

↓ 0.2%

BetRivers

+2200+2000

↑ 0.4%

HardRockBet

+2250+2000

↑ 0.5%

Betway

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+1500+1600

↓ 0.4%

Fight Outcome14 markets

Fight ends in round 1

3 booksconsensus 26.7%best +280vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+320+280

↑ 2.5%

HardRockBet

+325+275

↑ 3.1%

Betway

+250+250

· 0.0%

Fight ends in Round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

2 booksconsensus 25.0%best +300vs Open

BetRivers

+340+300

↑ 2.3%

HardRockBetBEST

+350+300

↑ 2.8%

Fight ends in Round 1 — Submission

2 booksconsensus 8.3%best +1100vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+1200+1100

↑ 0.6%

HardRockBet

+1200+1100

↑ 0.6%

Fight ends in round 1-2

2 booksconsensus 45.9%best +120vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+140+120

↑ 3.8%

BetRivers

+138+118

↑ 3.9%

Fight ends in round 2

3 booksconsensus 19.2%best +425vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+450+425

↑ 0.9%

BetRivers

+450+420

↑ 1.0%

Betway

+400+400

· 0.0%

Fight ends in Round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

2 booksconsensus 18.5%best +450vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+475+450

↑ 0.8%

BetRivers

+475+440

↑ 1.1%

Fight ends in Round 2 — Submission

2 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1400vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+1500+1400

↑ 0.4%

HardRockBet

+1500+1400

↑ 0.4%

Fight ends in round 3

3 booksconsensus 14.3%best +700vs Open

BetwayBEST

+700+700

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+650+600

↑ 1.0%

HardRockBet

+650+600

↑ 1.0%

Fight ends in Round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

2 booksconsensus 13.3%best +650vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+650+650

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

+650+650

· 0.0%

Fight ends in Round 3 — Submission

2 booksconsensus 4.3%best +2250vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+2250+2250

· 0.0%

BetRivers

+2200+2200

· 0.0%

Fight ends in round 3-Decision

1 booksconsensus 63.0%best -170vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-200-170

↓ 3.7%

Fight doesn't end in round 1

2 booksconsensus 80.0%best -400vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-455-400

↓ 2.0%

HardRockBet

-450-400

↓ 1.8%

Fight doesn't end in round 2

2 booksconsensus 86.7%best -625vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-714-625

↓ 1.5%

HardRockBet

-700-650

↓ 0.8%

Fight doesn't end in round 3

2 booksconsensus 90.9%best -1000vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-1111-1000

↓ 0.8%

HardRockBet

-1100-1000

↓ 0.8%

Distance6 markets · 20 quotes

Fight ends inside distance

6 booksconsensus 55.6%best -114vs Open

StakeBEST

-114-114

· 0.0%

BetOnline

-115-115

· 0.0%

Betway

-120-120

· 0.0%

Bovada

-135-125

↓ 1.9%

BetRivers

-115-135

↑ 4.0%

HardRockBet

-115-135

↑ 4.0%

Fight goes the distance

6 booksconsensus 52.4%best +105vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-115+105

↓ 4.7%

BetRivers

-115+104

↓ 4.5%

Bovada

+105-105

↑ 2.4%

Betway

-110-110

· 0.0%

Stake

-112-112

· 0.0%

BetOnline

-115-115

· 0.0%

Fight starts round 2

2 booksconsensus 80.0%best -400vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-455-400

↓ 2.0%

HardRockBet

-450-400

↓ 1.8%

Fight starts round 3

2 booksconsensus 62.3%best -164vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-192-164

↓ 3.6%

HardRockBet

-190-165

↓ 3.3%

Fight doesn't start round 2

2 booksconsensus 26.7%best +280vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+320+280

↑ 2.5%

HardRockBet

+325+275

↑ 3.1%

Fight doesn't start round 3

2 booksconsensus 44.8%best +125vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+145+125

↑ 3.6%

BetRivers

+143+123

↑ 3.7%

Totals & Handicaps4 markets · 36 quotes

Over 1.5 rounds

4 booksconsensus 70.6%best -225vs Open

BetwayBEST

-225-225

· 0.0%

Bovada

-230-230

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

-275-240

↓ 2.7%

BetRivers

-286-244

↓ 3.2%

Over 2.5 rounds

14 booksconsensus 53.5%best -105vs Open

Bet105BEST

-110-105

↓ 1.2%

Pinnacle

-110-105

↓ 1.2%

Bookmaker

-108-108

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

-132-110

↓ 4.5%

DraftKings

-115-110

↓ 1.1%

BetOnline

-134-115

↓ 3.8%

BetUS

-135-115

↓ 4.0%

Bovada

-145-115

↓ 5.7%

YouWager

-134-115

↓ 3.8%

Stake

-132-116

↓ 3.2%

MyBookie

-134-119

↓ 2.9%

Betway

-120-120

· 0.0%

BetRivers

-147-125

↓ 4.0%

HardRockBet

-145-125

↓ 3.6%

Under 1.5 rounds

4 booksconsensus 36.4%best +175vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+200+175

↑ 3.0%

Bovada

+175+175

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

+200+175

↑ 3.0%

Betway

-267-267

· 0.0%

Under 2.5 rounds

14 booksconsensus 52.6%best -105vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+114-105

↑ 4.5%

BetUS

+114-105

↑ 4.5%

YouWager

+114-105

↑ 4.5%

BetRivers

+108-109

↑ 4.1%

Stake

+103-109

↑ 2.9%

Betway

-110-110

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

+110-110

↑ 4.8%

MyBookie

+101-111

↑ 2.9%

Bookmaker

-114-114

· 0.0%

Bovada

+110-115

↑ 5.9%

Bet105

-110-116

↑ 1.3%

Pinnacle

-110-116

↑ 1.3%

DraftKings

-115-120

↑ 1.1%

Cloudbet

+103-122

↑ 5.7%

Combos2 markets · 2 quotes

Vinicius Oliveira1 market

de Oliveira wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 45.0%best +122vs Open

StakeBEST

+140+122

↑ 3.4%

Andre Fili1 market

Fili wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 17.9%best +460vs Open

StakeBEST

+460+460

· 0.0%

Other Markets20 markets · 38 quotes

Vinicius Oliveira10 markets

de Oliveira wins and over 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 50.0%best +100vs Open

BetRivers

-109+100

↓ 2.2%

HardRockBetBEST

-110+100

↓ 2.4%

de Oliveira wins and over 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 37.7%best +165vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+148+165

↓ 2.6%

HardRockBet

+150+165

↓ 2.3%

de Oliveira wins and under 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 29.0%best +250vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+275+250

↑ 1.9%

BetRivers

+275+245

↑ 2.3%

de Oliveira wins and under 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 41.2%best +145vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+160+145

↑ 2.4%

BetRivers

+160+143

↑ 2.7%

de Oliveira wins in round 3-Decision

1 booksconsensus 40.8%best +145vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+130+145

↓ 2.7%

de Oliveira wins in rounds 1-2

2 booksconsensus 35.1%best +185vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+210+185

↑ 2.8%

HardRockBet

+210+185

↑ 2.8%

de Oliveira doesn't win or over 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 79.4%best -375vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-425-375

↓ 2.0%

BetRivers

-435-385

↓ 1.9%

de Oliveira doesn't win or over 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 67.1%best -200vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-230-200

↓ 3.0%

BetRivers

-233-204

↓ 2.9%

de Oliveira doesn't win or under 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 59.2%best -143vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-130-143

↑ 2.3%

HardRockBet

-130-145

↑ 2.7%

de Oliveira doesn't win or under 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 70.9%best -240vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-220-240

↑ 1.8%

BetRivers

-217-244

↑ 2.5%

Andre Fili10 markets

Fili wins and over 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 28.2%best +260vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+250+260

↓ 0.8%

BetRivers

+245+255

↓ 0.8%

Fili wins and over 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 22.7%best +350vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+325+350

↓ 1.3%

BetRivers

+320+340

↓ 1.1%

Fili wins and under 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 11.1%best +800vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+900+800

↑ 1.1%

HardRockBet

+900+800

↑ 1.1%

Fili wins and under 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 16.7%best +510vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+550+510

↑ 1.0%

HardRockBet

+550+500

↑ 1.3%

Fili wins in round 3-Decision

1 booksconsensus 23.5%best +325vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

+300+325

↓ 1.5%

Fili wins in rounds 1-2

2 booksconsensus 12.5%best +700vs Open

BetRiversBEST

+800+700

↑ 1.4%

HardRockBet

+800+700

↑ 1.4%

Fili doesn't win or over 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 95.2%best -2000vs Open

BetRiversBEST

-2000-2000

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

-2000-2000

· 0.0%

Fili doesn't win or over 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 90.1%best -900vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-1000-900

↓ 0.9%

BetRivers

-1000-909

↓ 0.8%

Fili doesn't win or under 1.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 80.0%best -400vs Open

BetRivers

-385-400

↑ 0.6%

HardRockBetBEST

-375-400

↑ 1.1%

Fili doesn't win or under 2.5 rounds

2 booksconsensus 84.8%best -550vs Open

HardRockBetBEST

-525-550

↑ 0.6%

BetRivers

-526-556

↑ 0.7%