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Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento Odds & Line Movement — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 | BestMMAStats

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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2

Saturday, June 20, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas

Fighter 01

Mitch Raposo

Open+165→Now+163

↗ 0.21%

37.7% → 38.0% implied

SPLIT

VERSUS

Fighter 02

Allan Nascimento

Open-200→Now-200

— 0.00%

66.7% → 66.7% implied

SPLIT

Go deeper · Full head-to-head

Mitch Raposo vs Allan Nascimento — Stats, Tale of the Tape & AI Prediction

Striking and grappling splits, strength of schedule, betting insights and a round-by-round AI breakdown.

Compare Fighters

Moneyline Timeline

Pinnacle emphasized · every book traced

Moneyline

Mitch Raposo

22 books

Pinnacle · Sharp21 other books

Markets & Prices

Every book · every market · filter by category or window

Moneyline4 markets · 46 quotes

Mitch Raposo2 markets

Mitch Raposo to win

22 booksconsensus 38.0%best +175vs Open

CircaBEST

+175+175

· 0.0%

4casters

+145+169

↓ 3.6%

4Cx

+142+165

↓ 3.6%

Bet105

+169+165

↑ 0.6%

BetMGM

+165+165

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+170+165

↑ 0.7%

Bovada

+168+165

↑ 0.4%

HardRockBet

+165+165

· 0.0%

Pinnacle

+169+165

↑ 0.6%

YouWager

+170+165

↑ 0.7%

DraftKings

+170+164

↑ 0.8%

BetRivers

+163+163

· 0.0%

Betway

+150+163

↓ 2.0%

FanDuel

+162+162

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

+161+161

· 0.0%

BetAnything

+170+160

↑ 1.4%

Stake

+165+160

↑ 0.7%

BetUS

+166+158

↑ 1.2%

MyBookie

+155+156

↓ 0.2%

ProphetX

+156+156

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+160+155

↑ 0.8%

SXBet

+123-109

↑ 7.3%

Mitch Raposo (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 25.0%best +300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+300+300

· 0.0%

Allan Nascimento2 markets

Allan Nascimento to win

22 booksconsensus 66.7%best -190vs Open

4CxBEST

-214-190

↓ 2.6%

BetAnything

-200-190

↓ 1.1%

BetOnline

-200-190

↓ 1.1%

BetUS

-200-190

↓ 1.1%

YouWager

-200-190

↓ 1.1%

4casters

-210-191

↓ 2.1%

Bet105

-200-195

↓ 0.6%

Bovada

-198-195

↓ 0.3%

Pinnacle

-200-195

↓ 0.6%

DraftKings

-205-198

↓ 0.8%

BetMGM

-200-200

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-200-200

· 0.0%

Circa

-200-200

· 0.0%

HardRockBet

-200-200

· 0.0%

Stake

-204-200

↓ 0.4%

SXBet

-285-201

↓ 7.2%

MyBookie

-220-202

↓ 1.9%

BetRivers

-204-204

· 0.0%

ProphetX

-205-205

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

-213-208

↓ 0.5%

FanDuel

-210-210

· 0.0%

Betway

-200-225

↑ 2.6%

Allan Nascimento (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 80.0%best -400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-400-400

· 0.0%

Method of Victory33 markets · 49 quotes

Mitch Raposo14 markets

Raposo wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 26.7%best +285vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+285+285

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+290+274

↑ 1.1%

Stake

+250+235

↑ 1.3%

Raposo wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 35.7%best +190vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+190+190

· 0.0%

Stake

+185+180

↑ 0.6%

Raposo wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 7.1%best +1300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1300+1300

· 0.0%

Raposo wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2119vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+2072+2119

· 0.1%

BetOnline

+2000+2000

· 0.0%

Stake

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Raposo wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 30.8%best +235vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+235+235

· 0.0%

Stake

+235+225

↑ 0.9%

Raposo wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 10.5%best +902vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+877+902

↓ 0.3%

BetOnline

+850+850

· 0.0%

Stake

+760+780

↓ 0.3%

Raposo wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 23.0%best +335vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+335+335

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 5.3%best +1800vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.4%best +4000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+4000+4000

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 4.0%best +2400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2400+2400

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.2%best +4500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+4500+4500

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 3.2%best +3000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+3000+3000

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 1.8%best +5500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+5500+5500

· 0.0%

Raposo wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 12.5%best +700vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+700+700

· 0.0%

Allan Nascimento14 markets

Nascimento wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 36.4%best +203vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+205+203

↑ 0.2%

Stake

+175+175

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+170+170

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 44.4%best +147vs Open

StakeBEST

+147+147

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+125+125

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 8.3%best +1100vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1100+1100

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 33.9%best +225vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+217+225

↓ 0.8%

Stake

+185+195

↓ 1.2%

BetOnline

+180+180

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 60.6%best +135vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+135+135

· 0.0%

Stake

-156-154

↓ 0.3%

Nascimento wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 10.0%best +1096vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1069+1096

↓ 0.2%

BetOnline

+900+900

· 0.0%

Stake

+900+900

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 33.3%best +200vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+200+200

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 5.3%best +1800vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 16.7%best +500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+500+500

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 3.8%best +2500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2500+2500

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 12.9%best +675vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+675+675

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 2.9%best +3300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+3300+3300

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 10.0%best +900vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+900+900

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 41.7%best +140vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+140+140

· 0.0%

Fight Outcome5 markets

Fight ends by KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 15.4%best +550vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+550+550

· 0.0%

Fight ends in a Draw

1 booksconsensus 1.5%best +6600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Fight ends in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 14.3%best +600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+600+600

· 0.0%

Fight ends in submission

1 booksconsensus 38.5%best +160vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+160+160

· 0.0%

Fight doesn't end in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 90.9%best -1000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-1000-1000

· 0.0%

Round Betting6 markets · 12 quotes

Mitch Raposo3 markets

Raposo wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1473vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1427+1473

↓ 0.2%

BetOnline

+1400+1400

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 5.3%best +1836vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1788+1836

↓ 0.1%

BetOnline

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Raposo wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 4.3%best +2618vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+2589+2618

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+2200+2200

· 0.0%

Allan Nascimento3 markets

Nascimento wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 22.2%best +392vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+379+392

↓ 0.6%

BetOnline

+350+350

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 16.0%best +646vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+628+646

↓ 0.3%

BetOnline

+525+525

· 0.0%

Nascimento wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 11.8%best +1191vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1179+1191

· 0.1%

BetOnline

+750+750

· 0.0%

Distance2 markets · 4 quotes

Fight ends inside distance

2 booksconsensus 47.6%best +110vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+110+110

· 0.0%

Stake

+110+110

· 0.0%

Fight goes the distance

2 booksconsensus 58.5%best -140vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-140-140

· 0.0%

Stake

-141-141

· 0.0%

Totals & Handicaps2 markets · 24 quotes

Over 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 64.3%best -170vs Open

CircaBEST

-170-170

· 0.0%

Bet105

-173-173

· 0.0%

Pinnacle

-173-173

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-175-175

· 0.0%

BetOnline

-170-180

↑ 1.3%

BetUS

-170-180

↑ 1.3%

DraftKings

-180-180

· 0.0%

YouWager

-170-180

↑ 1.3%

Bovada

-185-185

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

-182-185

↑ 0.4%

Stake

-182-189

↑ 0.9%

MyBookie

-184-193

↑ 1.1%

Under 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 41.3%best +157vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+149+157

↓ 1.3%

YouWager

+149+157

↓ 1.3%

BetUS

+142+150

↓ 1.3%

Circa

+150+150

· 0.0%

Stake

+140+146

↓ 1.0%

MyBookie

+137+143

↓ 1.0%

Bookmaker

+142+142

· 0.0%

Bet105

+142+141

↑ 0.2%

Pinnacle

+142+141

↑ 0.2%

Bovada

+140+140

· 0.0%

DraftKings

+140+140

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+140+135

↑ 0.9%

Combos2 markets · 2 quotes

Mitch Raposo1 market

Raposo wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 14.3%best +600vs Open

StakeBEST

+580+600

↓ 0.4%

Allan Nascimento1 market

Nascimento wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 38.5%best +160vs Open

StakeBEST

+155+160

↓ 0.8%