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Michael Aswell Jr. vs Gaston Bolaños Odds & Line Movement — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 | BestMMAStats

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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2

Saturday, June 20, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas

Fighter 01

Michael Aswell Jr.

Open-400→Now-433

↗ 1.26%

80.0% → 81.3% implied

VERSUS

Fighter 02

Gaston Bolaños

Open+307→Now+327

↘ 1.18%

24.6% → 23.4% implied

Go deeper · Full head-to-head

Michael Aswell Jr. vs Gaston Bolaños — Stats, Tale of the Tape & AI Prediction

Striking and grappling splits, strength of schedule, betting insights and a round-by-round AI breakdown.

Compare Fighters

Moneyline Timeline

Pinnacle emphasized · every book traced

Moneyline

Michael Aswell Jr.

22 books

Pinnacle · Sharp21 other books

Markets & Prices

Every book · every market · filter by category or window

Moneyline4 markets · 46 quotes

Michael Aswell Jr.1 market

Michael Aswell to win

22 booksconsensus 81.3%best -380vs Open

BetAnythingBEST

-380-380

· 0.0%

Circa

-365-395

↑ 1.3%

Betway

-400-400

· 0.0%

4casters

-409-409

· 0.0%

4Cx

-418-418

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-400-420

↑ 0.8%

DraftKings

-395-425

↑ 1.2%

HardRockBet

-425-425

· 0.0%

FanDuel

-400-430

↑ 1.1%

Bet105

-397-432

↑ 1.3%

Pinnacle

-397-432

↑ 1.3%

BetRivers

-435-435

· 0.0%

Bovada

-390-435

↑ 1.7%

ProphetX

-445-445

· 0.0%

BetMGM

-450-450

· 0.0%

BetOnline

-375-450

↑ 2.9%

BetUS

-400-450

↑ 1.8%

YouWager

-400-450

↑ 1.8%

Stake

-400-455

↑ 2.0%

MyBookie

-441-481

↑ 1.3%

SXBet

-426-488

↑ 2.0%

Cloudbet

-455-500

↑ 1.4%

Gaston Bolaños2 markets

Gaston Bolanos to win

22 booksconsensus 23.5%best +350vs Open

BetOnline

+310+350

↓ 2.2%

YouWagerBEST

+300+350

↓ 2.8%

Bet105

+317+342

↓ 1.4%

Pinnacle

+317+342

↓ 1.4%

Bovada

+310+340

↓ 1.7%

Stake

+300+340

↓ 2.3%

BetUS

+309+339

↓ 1.7%

BetRivers

+330+330

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+305+330

↓ 1.4%

DraftKings

+310+330

↓ 1.1%

MyBookie

+275+330

↓ 3.4%

BetMGM

+350+325

↑ 1.3%

HardRockBet

+325+325

· 0.0%

Circa

+300+320

↓ 1.2%

Bookmaker

+300+313

↓ 0.8%

4casters

+310+310

· 0.0%

ProphetX

+310+310

· 0.0%

4Cx

+303+303

· 0.0%

FanDuel

+290+300

↓ 0.6%

Betway

+275+275

· 0.0%

SXBet

+251+262

↓ 0.9%

BetAnything

+250+250

· 0.0%

Gaston Bolanos (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 25.0%best +300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+300+300

· 0.0%

Fight Outcome1 market

Michael Aswell (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 80.0%best -400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-400-400

· 0.0%

Method of Victory33 markets · 49 quotes

Michael Aswell Jr.14 markets

Aswell wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 45.9%best +130vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+130+130

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+137+118

↑ 3.7%

Stake

+118+100

↑ 4.1%

Aswell wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 75.2%best -300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-300-300

· 0.0%

Stake

-270-303

↑ 2.2%

Aswell wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1200vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Aswell wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 11.1%best +899vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+863+899

↓ 0.4%

BetOnline

+800+800

· 0.0%

Stake

+740+760

↓ 0.3%

Aswell wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 54.5%best +100vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+100+100

· 0.0%

Stake

-105-120

↑ 3.3%

Aswell wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 37.0%best +195vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+181+195

↓ 1.7%

BetOnline

+170+170

· 0.0%

Stake

+155+165

↓ 1.5%

Aswell wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 40.0%best +150vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+150+150

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 17.4%best +475vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+475+475

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 5.3%best +1800vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 14.3%best +600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+600+600

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 4.0%best +2400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2400+2400

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 11.8%best +750vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+750+750

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.9%best +3300vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+3300+3300

· 0.0%

Aswell wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 44.4%best +125vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+125+125

· 0.0%

Gaston Bolaños14 markets

Bolanos wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 13.9%best +734vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+784+734

↑ 0.7%

Stake

+680+620

↑ 1.1%

BetOnline

+600+600

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by KO/TKO or Decision

2 booksconsensus 26.7%best +370vs Open

StakeBEST

+350+370

↓ 0.9%

BetOnline

+275+275

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 5.9%best +1600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1600+1600

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 2.9%best +3890vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+3230+3890

↓ 0.5%

Stake

+2800+3400

↓ 0.6%

BetOnline

+2500+2500

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by Submission or Decision

2 booksconsensus 15.4%best +580vs Open

StakeBEST

+600+580

↑ 0.4%

BetOnline

+550+550

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 10.9%best +957vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+784+957

↓ 1.9%

Stake

+680+820

↓ 2.0%

BetOnline

+600+600

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 12.9%best +675vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+675+675

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1400+1400

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.0%best +5000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+5000+5000

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2000+2000

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 1.7%best +5700vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+5700+5700

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 3.7%best +2600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2600+2600

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 1.5%best +6600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 15.4%best +550vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+550+550

· 0.0%

Fight Outcome5 markets

Fight ends by KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 48.8%best +105vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+105+105

· 0.0%

Fight ends in a Draw

1 booksconsensus 1.5%best +6600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Fight ends in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 12.5%best +700vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+700+700

· 0.0%

Fight ends in submission

1 booksconsensus 11.6%best +765vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+765+765

· 0.0%

Fight doesn't end in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 93.3%best -1400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-1400-1400

· 0.0%

Round Betting6 markets · 12 quotes

Michael Aswell Jr.3 markets

Aswell wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 22.2%best +403vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+362+403

↓ 1.8%

BetOnline

+350+350

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 17.4%best +541vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+507+541

↓ 0.9%

BetOnline

+475+475

· 0.0%

Aswell wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 14.3%best +793vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+835+793

↑ 0.5%

BetOnline

+600+600

· 0.0%

Gaston Bolaños3 markets

Bolanos wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1548vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1233+1548

↓ 1.4%

BetOnline

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 5.3%best +2374vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1965+2374

↓ 0.8%

BetOnline

+1800+1800

· 0.0%

Bolanos wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 4.0%best +3971vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+3667+3971

↓ 0.2%

BetOnline

+2400+2400

· 0.0%

Distance2 markets · 4 quotes

Fight ends inside distance

2 booksconsensus 54.5%best -104vs Open

StakeBEST

-122-104

↓ 4.0%

BetOnline

-120-120

· 0.0%

Fight goes the distance

2 booksconsensus 55.2%best -110vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-110-110

· 0.0%

Stake

-104-123

↑ 4.2%

Totals & Handicaps2 markets · 24 quotes

Over 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 61.5%best -150vs Open

CircaBEST

-150-150

· 0.0%

Bet105

-137-160

↑ 3.7%

BetOnline

-135-160

↑ 4.1%

BetUS

-135-160

↑ 4.1%

Bookmaker

-160-160

· 0.0%

Pinnacle

-137-160

↑ 3.7%

YouWager

-135-160

↑ 4.1%

DraftKings

-140-166

↑ 4.1%

Cloudbet

-141-169

↑ 4.3%

Stake

-118-169

↑ 8.7%

Bovada

-145-170

↑ 3.8%

MyBookie

-121-172

↑ 8.5%

Under 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 43.5%best +140vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+115+140

↓ 4.8%

YouWager

+115+140

↓ 4.8%

BetUS

+114+134

↓ 4.0%

Bet105

+113+131

↓ 3.7%

Pinnacle

+113+131

↓ 3.7%

Stake

-108+131

↓ 8.6%

Bookmaker

+130+130

· 0.0%

Bovada

+110+130

↓ 4.1%

Circa

+130+130

· 0.0%

DraftKings

+110+130

↓ 4.1%

MyBookie

-110+129

↓ 8.7%

Cloudbet

+110+125

↓ 3.2%

Combos2 markets · 2 quotes

Michael Aswell Jr.1 market

Aswell wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 43.1%best +132vs Open

StakeBEST

+122+132

↓ 1.9%

Gaston Bolaños1 market

Bolanos wins by KO/TKO or Submission

1 booksconsensus 12.2%best +720vs Open

StakeBEST

+600+720

↓ 2.1%