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Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos Odds & Line Movement — UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2 | BestMMAStats

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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2

Saturday, June 20, 2026 · Meta APEX · Las Vegas

Fighter 01

Karol Rosa

Open-140→Now-120

↘ 3.79%

58.3% → 54.5% implied

STEAMBIG

VERSUS

Fighter 02

Luana Santos

Open+113→Now-100

↗ 3.17%

46.9% → 50.1% implied

STEAMBIG

Go deeper · Full head-to-head

Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos — Stats, Tale of the Tape & AI Prediction

Striking and grappling splits, strength of schedule, betting insights and a round-by-round AI breakdown.

Compare Fighters

Moneyline Timeline

Pinnacle emphasized · every book traced

Moneyline

Karol Rosa

22 books

Pinnacle · Sharp21 other books

Markets & Prices

Every book · every market · filter by category or window

Moneyline4 markets · 46 quotes

Karol Rosa2 markets

Karol Rosa to win

22 booksconsensus 54.5%best -118vs Open

DraftKingsBEST

-135-118

↓ 3.3%

Bet105

-140-119

↓ 4.0%

Pinnacle

-140-119

↓ 4.0%

4casters

-120-120

· 0.0%

BetAnything

-130-120

↓ 2.0%

BetMGM

-145-120

↓ 4.6%

BetOnline

-140-120

↓ 3.8%

BetRivers

-137-120

↓ 3.3%

BetUS

-140-120

↓ 3.8%

Bovada

-133-120

↓ 2.5%

Circa

-145-120

↓ 4.6%

FanDuel

-140-120

↓ 3.8%

HardRockBet

-135-120

↓ 2.9%

YouWager

-140-120

↓ 3.8%

4Cx

-122-122

· 0.0%

Stake

-175-122

↓ 8.7%

MyBookie

-186-124

↓ 9.7%

ProphetX

-124-124

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-135-125

↓ 1.9%

Cloudbet

-147-125

↓ 4.0%

SXBet

-163-129

↓ 5.6%

Betway

-138-138

· 0.0%

Karol Rosa (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 45.5%best +120vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+120+120

· 0.0%

Luana Santos2 markets

Luana Santos to win

22 booksconsensus 50.2%best +105vs Open

BetwayBEST

+105+105

· 0.0%

Bet105

+120+102

↑ 4.1%

Bookmaker

+110+102

↑ 1.9%

Pinnacle

+120+102

↑ 4.1%

BetMGM

+120+100

↑ 4.5%

BetOnline

+120+100

↑ 4.5%

BetUS

+118+100

↑ 4.1%

Bovada

+112+100

↑ 2.8%

Circa

+125+100

↑ 5.6%

HardRockBet

+110+100

↑ 2.4%

YouWager

+120+100

↑ 4.5%

Stake

+141-101

↑ 8.8%

BetRivers

+112-102

↑ 3.3%

Cloudbet

+115-102

↑ 4.0%

DraftKings

+114-102

↑ 3.8%

ProphetX

-102-102

· 0.0%

MyBookie

+132-103

↑ 7.6%

4casters

-106-106

· 0.0%

FanDuel

+110-106

↑ 3.8%

4Cx

-108-108

· 0.0%

BetAnything

+100-110

↑ 2.4%

SXBet

+102-113

↑ 3.5%

Luana Santos (scorecards = no action)

1 booksconsensus 60.0%best -150vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-150-150

· 0.0%

Method of Victory33 markets · 45 quotes

Karol Rosa14 markets

Rosa wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 49.3%best +121vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+126+121

↑ 1.0%

Stake

+107+103

↑ 1.0%

BetOnline

+100+100

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by KO/TKO or Decision

1 booksconsensus 53.5%best -115vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-115-115

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 12.1%best +725vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+725+725

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1639vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1693+1639

↑ 0.2%

BetOnline

+1400+1400

· 0.0%

Stake

+1400+1400

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by Submission or Decision

1 booksconsensus 52.4%best -110vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-110-110

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 9.1%best +1178vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1211+1178

↑ 0.2%

BetOnline

+1000+1000

· 0.0%

Stake

+1000+1000

· 0.0%

Rosa wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 45.5%best +120vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+120+120

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2000+2000

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 3.4%best +2800vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2800+2800

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 3.8%best +2500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+2500+2500

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.8%best +3500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+3500+3500

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 3.2%best +3000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+3000+3000

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 2.2%best +4500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+4500+4500

· 0.0%

Rosa wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 14.3%best +600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+600+600

· 0.0%

Luana Santos14 markets

Santos wins by decision

3 booksconsensus 37.7%best +179vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+173+179

↓ 0.8%

BetOnline

+165+165

· 0.0%

Stake

+148+150

↓ 0.3%

Santos wins by KO/TKO or Decision

1 booksconsensus 41.7%best +140vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+140+140

· 0.0%

Santos wins by split/majority decision

1 booksconsensus 11.4%best +775vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+775+775

· 0.0%

Santos wins by submission

3 booksconsensus 15.4%best +603vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+587+603

↓ 0.3%

BetOnline

+550+550

· 0.0%

Stake

+500+520

↓ 0.5%

Santos wins by Submission or Decision

1 booksconsensus 46.5%best +115vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+115+115

· 0.0%

Santos wins by TKO/KO

3 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2193vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+2147+2193

· 0.1%

BetOnline

+2000+2000

· 0.0%

Stake

+1800+1900

↓ 0.3%

Santos wins by unanimous decision

1 booksconsensus 34.5%best +190vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+190+190

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 1 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 2.4%best +4000vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+4000+4000

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 1 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1200vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 2 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 2.2%best +4500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+4500+4500

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 2 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 6.7%best +1400vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1400+1400

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 3 — KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 1.8%best +5500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+5500+5500

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 3 — Submission

1 booksconsensus 5.0%best +1900vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+1900+1900

· 0.0%

Santos wins inside distance

1 booksconsensus 16.7%best +500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+500+500

· 0.0%

Fight Outcome5 markets

Fight ends by KO, TKO or DQ

1 booksconsensus 12.5%best +700vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+700+700

· 0.0%

Fight ends in a Draw

1 booksconsensus 1.5%best +6600vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+6600+6600

· 0.0%

Fight ends in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 21.1%best +375vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+375+375

· 0.0%

Fight ends in submission

1 booksconsensus 18.2%best +450vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+450+450

· 0.0%

Fight doesn't end in split or majority decision

1 booksconsensus 84.6%best -550vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-550-550

· 0.0%

Round Betting6 markets · 12 quotes

Karol Rosa3 markets

Rosa wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1526vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1571+1526

↑ 0.2%

BetOnline

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 5.9%best +2066vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+2127+2066

↑ 0.1%

BetOnline

+1600+1600

· 0.0%

Rosa wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 4.8%best +2645vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+2723+2645

↑ 0.1%

BetOnline

+2000+2000

· 0.0%

Luana Santos3 markets

Santos wins in round 1

2 booksconsensus 9.1%best +1083vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1057+1083

↓ 0.2%

BetOnline

+1000+1000

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 2

2 booksconsensus 7.7%best +1474vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1440+1474

↓ 0.1%

BetOnline

+1200+1200

· 0.0%

Santos wins in round 3

2 booksconsensus 5.9%best +1893vs Open

CloudbetBEST

+1850+1893

↓ 0.1%

BetOnline

+1600+1600

· 0.0%

Distance2 markets · 4 quotes

Fight ends inside distance

2 booksconsensus 23.8%best +325vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

+325+325

· 0.0%

Stake

+320+320

· 0.0%

Fight goes the distance

2 booksconsensus 82.0%best -450vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-450-450

· 0.0%

Stake

-455-455

· 0.0%

Totals & Handicaps2 markets · 24 quotes

Over 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 84.1%best -500vs Open

BetOnlineBEST

-500-500

· 0.0%

BetUS

-500-500

· 0.0%

YouWager

-500-500

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

-525-525

· 0.0%

Stake

-526-526

· 0.0%

Bet105

-530-530

· 0.0%

Pinnacle

-530-530

· 0.0%

MyBookie

-549-549

· 0.0%

Circa

-550-550

· 0.0%

DraftKings

-560-560

· 0.0%

Bovada

-600-600

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

-526-625

↑ 2.2%

Under 2.5 rounds

12 booksconsensus 21.1%best +425vs Open

CircaBEST

+425+425

· 0.0%

Bet105

+385+385

· 0.0%

Pinnacle

+385+385

· 0.0%

BetOnline

+383+383

· 0.0%

YouWager

+383+383

· 0.0%

Bookmaker

+376+376

· 0.0%

Bovada

+375+375

· 0.0%

Cloudbet

+358+375

↓ 0.8%

DraftKings

+370+370

· 0.0%

BetUS

+369+369

· 0.0%

Stake

+360+360

· 0.0%

MyBookie

+350+350

· 0.0%